Do Employee Interests Affect Target Board Decisions about Acquisition Offers? Evidence from Changes in Unemployment Insurance

Abstract

We explore whether employee interests affect the evaluation of acquisition offers by target boards of directors.  Exploiting changes in state unemployment insurance (UI) as sources of exogenous variation in worker unemployment costs, we find that lower unemployment costs increase acquisition activity. Adoption of state constituency statutes strengthens this relation. Boards of target firms having high labor intensity, low short-term institutional ownership, headquartered in low population or high social capital counties, and with female independent directors, more often strongly weight employee interests. Higher UI levels are also associated with larger post-acquisition layoffs. Our evidence supports theories rationalizing target boards’ consideration of employee interests.  

 

Average Annual Change of State Acquisition Ratio vs. Average Annual Percentage Change of State UI Level (1986-2018)

Timing of the Treatment Effects Around Large UI Increases

This figure plots the point estimates and their 95% confidence intervals of the effects of a large state UI increase on firm-level acquisition likelihood by year over the [-4,+4] year event window around the large UI increase event in year 0.

The acquisition likelihood for treatment and control firms appears to follow the same time trend prior to the large UI increase events. However, one year after the large UI increase events, the acquisition likelihood of the treatment firms rises significantly relative to that of the control firms and remains higher for the next three years.

Full Paper: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2993206

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